Caucasus Rebels, getting Bolder by the Minute
They are getting bolder by the minute. Why, it’s almost like Shamil Basayev were still calling the shots.
Last week a bomb ripped through a security cordon outside a theater in Grozny, Chechnya. Inside was the regional dictator and homicidal lunatic Ramzan Kadyrov himself, watching a show. Next time, the local rebels were obviously saying, the bomb will be inside the theater and Kadyrov (and his cadres) will be dead.
So much for Kadyrov having pacified the Caucasus rebels.
Instead, on a daily basis we read reports about more and more insurgent violence rising throughout the region, and the acts of retaliation are getting bolder and bolder. First the rebels lashed out at Moscow itself, bombing a subway system, and now they have targeted the locus of Russian power in the Caucasus itself, in the person of Kadyrov.
Meanwhile, it isn’t even clear that killing Kadyrov would make things worse for Moscow, they’re that bad already. The dictator Vladimir Putin has allowed Kadyrov to achieve what so many Russian soliders gave their lives to prevent, namely the creation of a fully independent Islamic fiefdom in Chechnya. It’s far from clear that the Kremlin has the power to remove Kadyrov if it wanted to, and there is no telling what madness this lunatic might be capable of as his power grows and his dependence on Moscow vanishes.
But one thing is absolutely clear: Putin’s policy in Chechnya has resulted in total disaster for Russia. Tens of thousands of Russian lives have been sacrificed and Chechnya has still won its de facto independence. Revolution is spreading throughout the the entire Caucaus region, fueled by the precedent of Ossetia and Abkhazia winning freedom from Georgia, and Chechnya itself could explode at any moment.