The Slobbering Russian Beast Eyes Georgia
With no disrespect intended, we think the “analysis” of our blogging colleagues over at Robert Amsterdam and The Power Vertical, seeming to engage in some weird form of numerology regarding the signficance of the month of August in Russian history, is rather bizarre. We see no reason for rational western commentators to dabble in the same sort of silly and barbaric astrological gibberish as do the Russian people themselves.
But just as even paranoids have enemies, that doesn’t mean Russia won’t invade Georgia this month, again.
Russia is attempting to provoke Georgia once again, this time by nibbling up additional chunks of Georgian territory. Russia is claiming the Georgia is shelling Ossetia, but as the New York Times reports: “The European Union mission released a statement late on Saturday saying its patrols ‘have seen no evidence to confirm that any firing has taken place toward Tskhinvali or its surroundings.'” Little wonder that Russia has purged the entire region of impartial observers from the EU and the UN; Russia wants the unfettered ability to lie brazenly and attack wantonly, just as the USSR used to do. If Russia were acting in good faith, of course, it would be pleading for as many international observers as possible to confirm Georgian aggression. Instead, it boots them out with relish. What is the difference, then, between the USSR moving into Eastern Europe and Russia moving into the Caucasus? We see none.
The Times reports: “President Eduard Kokoity of South Ossetia said he hoped to expand the boundary to include a gorge that he described as ‘native Ossetian land, which for unclear reasons in the Soviet period’ was included in Georgia.” Since then, he’s begun making noises about surrendering Ossetian soveignty entirely and begging for even more Russian troops. It’s simply unbelievable that the Russians are not satisifed with the gigantic slice of Georgia they’ve already taken, and want more. It’s genuinely mindboggling that Russian are not the least bit ashamed of the total diplomatic disaster that followed their first move against Georgia, and are now moving towards doing the whole thing over again — even as they recreate in Moscow a close facsimile of the Soviet state that collapsed such a short time ago.
The West simply cannot tolerate yet another act of mindless, slobbering, beastlike agression by Russia in the Caucus region. The world must not forget that Russia would love to seize Georgia not only to recreate the Soviet empire but to close down the Nabucco pipeline, planned to run through Georgia and threatening to undermine Russia’s gas hegemony in Europe.
If Russia moves into Georgia this summer, it will confirm the total failure of Barack Obama’s recent visit to Moscow. In fact, it will confirm that Obama’s inconsistency and weakness were seen by the Kremlin as an open invitation to finish the job in Tbilisi. If Georgia were to be seized by Russia, it would damage Obama’s presidency as irretrievably as the Soviet assault on Afghanistan did to Jimmy Carter.
Obama must not let this happen, for his own sake as well as for his own legacy. He must move decisively to bring NATO and U.S. forces into play, sending a clear message to the Kremlin that further aggression will not be tolerated. Russia is a cowardly bully nation, which loves to pick on tiny defenseless states but which, like all bullies, cannot stand up for itself when confronted by an equally powerful rival.
Make no mistake: Russia will not stop with Georgia if its agression is permitted. It will then turn its sights to Ukraine and every other now free nation which used to be part of Soviet “space.”