Daily Archives: September 25, 2007

September 25, 2007 — Contents

TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 25 CONTENTS

(1) 60 Minutes Rips Putin a New One

(2) Annals of Neo-Soviet Horror: Putin Deputizes Nashi

(3) Annals of Russian “Diplomacy”: Another Attack on Georgia

(4) Signs of the Neo-Soviet Apocalypse: Russia Running out of Oil

NOTE: Check out La Russophobe‘s latest installment on Publius Pundit, where she illustrates the nexus between the New York Times, Columbia University and the holocaust in Ukraine, and feel free to add your comments on this left-wing outrage against fundamental democratic values.

60 Minutes Rips Putin a New One

In yet another display of how badly Vladimir Putin has botched his public relations and failed to conceal his neo-Soviet powerplay, America’s vaunted 60 Minutes devoted a whole segment last Sunday to highlighting Garry Kasparov’s valiant struggle against Putin’s tyranny. It was genuinely thrilling to watch this broadcast, as it hit all the key points exposing Putin’s dictatorship and allowed Kasparov to land haymaker after haymaker, depicting him as the hero that, with all his human faults, he truly is. If even American TV can get Russia right, then it’s clear Putin’s efforts to pull of his ridiculous masquerade have failed utterly. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on ME! The New Yorker also has a major feature on Kasparov in the most recent issue, written by the editor-in-chief and featured as the lead story on its website, complete with a captivating photograph of Mr. K. Here’s the brilliant report from 60 Minutes:

For 20 years Garry Kasparov was the greatest chess player in the world. He won his first world championship at the age of 22 and was ranked number one almost continuously until he retired from international competition two years ago, a Russian hero and a very wealthy man. He could have done anything he wanted. Instead, he chose to make the riskiest move of his career: he entered the treacherous world of Russian politics, and has become one of President Vladimir Putin’s harshest critics, accusing him of abolishing democratic reforms, and turning over the country’s vast natural resources to a small political elite. It is the match of his life. As correspondent Steve Kroft reports, the odds are long, and the dangers considerable, but Kasparov believes the soul of a nation is at stake.

Throughout his career, Kasparov intimidated opponents with his intensity, creativity, and daring. He could look at a chessboard and see 15 moves ahead. At a Toronto exhibition in June, he took on 20 opponents and beat all of them in an hour-and-a-half. But his latest undertaking — leading protests against a powerful and popular government — is a much more difficult challenge. This time it is Kasparov who is considered the amateur, playing against grandmasters in the Kremlin. Asked what the difference is between chess and politics, Kasparov tells Kroft, “Chess has rules. And everybody has to follow the rules. And in Russian politics there are no rules at all. Except one rule: the Kremlin, our opponents, changing rules at their convenience anytime they want.”

And the man who changed them is President Vladimir Putin.

When Putin was elected seven years ago, regional governors were selected by the people; now they are appointed by Putin’s office. Big media outlets once receptive to a wide range of political views have fallen under state control, and opposition groups like Kasparov’s “United Civil Front” say they have been shut out of the national debate and cut off from the electoral process. “We’re facing a very dangerous regime that is threatening not only the future of my country but the stability of the whole world,” Kasparov says.

What is he opposing?

“Every element of this regime. No elections. Censorship. The destruction of all democratic institutions,” Kasparov says. Kasparov doesn’t believe that today’s Russia is a democracy. He calls it a “police state.” When he has been able to organize protests, Kasparov has been met with thousands upon thousands of riot police and special troops brought in from the countryside to ensure order and discourage participation, sometimes with truncheons. Kasparov has been detained, fined, and investigated. He assumes his political headquarters in Moscow is bugged and that he is under constant surveillance. In December, the authorities raided his office looking for evidence Kasparov had violated a vaguely-worded extremism law, which makes it a crime to make false statements about government officials. It was enacted to fight terrorism, but now Kasparov says it is being used to stifle dissent. But it hasn’t stopped him from speaking out.

“I would probably say that Putin doesn’t run the country, he runs a corporation. Call it KGB Incorporated,” Kasparov says. “He is working on behalf of the ruling elite that wants to benefit from looting the country.” Asked if he is an “extremist,” Kasparov tells Kroft, “I’m afraid that by current Russian law, yes. Because that’s what Russian law implies.”

“Technically speaking,” Kasparov says he could go to prison just for criticizing the government or staging a rally. And he says the penalties could be up to six years in prison.

It would not be the first time government critics have been silenced. Mikhail Khodorkovsky was once one of the richest men in Russia, until he displayed some political ambition. Now he’s in a Siberian prison. The investigative reporter Anna Politkovskaya was shot to death in her Moscow apartment building. And former KGB agent Alexander Litvinenko was poisoned in London with polonium.There’s no evidence linking Putin to the deaths, but there is no denying that bad things tend to happen to people who challenge authority.

“There have been people in this country, prominent people, who have lost their lives. Does that concern you?” Kroft asks. “It does,” Kasparov admits. “You know I’m [a] normal human being. I have my private life. And my loved ones concern about my safety. I try to reduce the risk.” Asked if he thinks he’s still protected somewhat by his fame and the fact he’s still considered a national hero, Kasparov tells Kroft, “It does help to a certain degree. But it is not an ultimate protection. No one is safe in Putin’s Russia.” Kasparov goes nowhere in Russia without bodyguards — two on a normal day in Moscow, more if he’s traveling outside the capital or to a protest march like one in St. Petersburg, which 60 Minutes attended.

Like most of these events, it was widely covered by the Western media, and all but ignored by the Russian press.

Despite a strong police presence, more than 1,000 people turned out to voice their displeasure with the government. And Kasparov enjoyed being in the middle of it. He told Kroft he always played his best chess in the most difficult situations. “We’ve been together a couple of days, and this is the happiest I’ve seen you,” Kroft remarked, while the two walked in St. Petersburg. “Because I can see that people respond and they are overcoming their fear,” Kasparov explains. “That’s how we can win.” In chess, when you are in danger of being checkmated, you have to do what you can to survive, and Kasparov has established an alliance called “The Other Russia,” a broad coalition of widely divergent political parties, that have little in common other than their opposition to Putin’s regime.

The tactic has produced some of the largest political protests since Putin came to power, and raised eyebrows about some of his allies, like the National Bolshevik Party, which envisions a socialist Russian empire stretching across most of Europe, and reminds some people of the Nazis. The National Bolshevik Party’s flag, already banned, is reminiscent of the Nazi flag – except that the swastika is replaced by a hammer and sickle. “If you’re fighting for democracy, how can you march with fascists?” Kroft asks. “They’re not fascists,” Kasparov says. “You say they’re not fascists. That’s not what we’re told,” Kroft remarks. “Yeah, but fascist is a word. I’m also called fascist by some of the Kremlin factions,” Kasparov replies. Asked if he agrees with what the National Bolsheviks stand for, Kasparov tells Kroft, “They stand for number of things that I may disagree. But we agree on one thing: the restoration of free and fair elections, no censorship and diminishing of presidential powers. What’s wrong about that?”

“Kasparov was a great chess player. There’s no doubt about it. I don’t think he’s a very good politician,” says Vladimir Posner, once one of the Soviet Union’s leading spokesmen. Today, Posner hosts Russia’s most popular political talk show. Asked if the average Russian knows who Kasparov is, Posner tells Kroft, “Yes, everyone knows that he was a great chess player but today they know him as a fringe, as they would say, political figure. And he could not be elected dog catcher, really not.” According to public opinion polls, Putin’s approval rating is nearly 80 percent. He’s viewed as being young, energetic, and well-spoken. And with Russia’s huge energy reserves, and soaring oil and gas prices, the economy is booming.

Across from Lenin’s tomb on Red Square, you’ll find some of the most fashionable boutiques in the world. But most of all, Putin is seen as having restored Russia to its role as a world power, and he has effectively managed to associate the word democracy with the economic chaos and drunken behavior of the late Russian President Boris Yeltsin.

What has Putin given to people?

“Stability for most people, a better living standard gradually,” Posner says. “A returned sense of pride. We’re back, guys. You thought we were gone forever. You thought we’d play no more role, that Russia was now a third class country. Well, you were wrong.”

Posner disagrees with Kasparov’s statement that Russia today is a police state. “The Soviet Union was a police state,” he says. “And he should know the difference. Had this been the Soviet Union, he would’ve been in jail long ago…or sent to a camp, the gulag,” Posner adds. “Today, he talks, you know he’s out there.” Posner acknowledges Kasparov has been detained and that his office have been raided, but he says, “Compared to Soviet times, that’s not persecution. That’s, ya know, little red riding hood kind of thing.” [LR: Stalin’s Russia didn’t become Stalin’s Russia overnight. It happened slowly, gradually, in baby steps just like these. And the same is true of Hitler in Germany. The only real flaw in this report is that the reporter failed to raise this obvious issue with Posner, but you can’t have everything.]

“I mean we’re sitting here in your apartment. You’re saying these things to us on television. There’s nobody…,” Kroft remarks to Kasparov. “American television,” Kasparov points out. “American television. But you’d say them on Russian television if you could?” Kroft asks. “If I could, yes,” Kasparov says. “But I cannot.” Posner admits he has not had Kasparov as a guest on his political talk show. Why not?

“Because Channel One will not allow it,” Posner explains. [LR: Is mighty Putin really that afraid of Garry? You bet. Because he knows Russia’s “prosperity” isn’t even skin deep and he lacks the power to control genuine public unrest.]

“Is this changed since Putin became president?” Kroft asks. “Definitely,” Posner replies. “So, you agree with Kasparov when he says that the democratic reforms that came into being initially have been rolled back…” Kroft asks. “They never really took root,” Posner tells Kroft. “And they were rolled back, yes. Yes, absolutely.”

But most Russians don’t seem to mind. Many of them would like to see Putin rule with an even-stronger hand. “Kasparov represents the attitudes of three or four percent of the electorate who are liberal and are very dissatisfied with Putin,” says Vyacheslav Nikonov, who is a top Russian political analyst who advises the Kremlin. How important is democracy to the Russian people? “If you conduct public opinion polls, and you ask the people what are the issues you are most worried about, you won’t get democracy among the top 30,” Nikonov explains. “You’ll get jobs.”

“The top 30?” Kroft asks.

“Yeah, you’ll get jobs. You’ll get corruption. You’ll get crime. You’ll get social welfare. But, there’ll be no democracy,” Nikonov says.

“We’ve talked to Russian commentators of varying political persuasions. Everyone here believes that Putin is incredibly popular. That people believe the economy has improved. That they like the stability. And that they aren’t that concerned with democracy,” Kroft tells Kasparov.

“Yes, within the center of Moscow, in the center of St. Petersburg and in some oil rich regions, yes. You could see this country, the country that you just described with growing middle class. Prosperity,” Kasparov says. “The problem is there’s another country of 120 million that lives on other side of the fence. And this country’s very different from one that we just described.”

“If things are so bad here, why is Putin’s popularity rating between 70 and 80 percent?” Kroft asks.

“I don’t know about this popularity rating. I think that if U.S. administration had the same kind of control of media I think Bush’s rating would be 75, 80 percent as well,” Kasparov says.

When he’s not in Russia, Kasparov travels the world making speeches and writing books. The latest, about how the principles of chess can be applied to life, will be published this month. Though he doesn’t compete in professional tournaments anymore, he told Kroft he sometimes plays late at night, just for fun on the Internet, using an alias. “For me, it’s an important part of mental relaxation,” Kasparov explains. “So, there are people out there that have, may have played chess with you online that had no idea they were…” Kroft asks. “Oh, I think quite a few. They can get an idea, because, obviously, they can recognize a steady hand,” Kasparov says. “It’s still a steady hand.”

Putin’s term ends in May and the Russian constitution bars him from seeking re-election. Most analysts believe that whoever Putin endorses will win the next election hands-down. Asked if he expects that election to be democratic, Nikonov tells Kroft, “Well, at this point, there is no need for the Kremlin to falsify the election. Putin is so popular that he can translate his popularity to his successor.”

“You’re not saying that he wouldn’t think of it. You’re saying he doesn’t need to,” Kroft remarks. “Well, at this point, yes, the Kremlin does not need to falsify the election,” Nikonov says. Kasparov hasn’t said whether he’ll run for elected office himself or throw his support behind another candidate. With parliamentary elections in December and presidential elections in March, the stakes will soon rise, and perhaps the perils.
“The more dangerous he seems to the powers that be, the more danger to him,” Posner says.

Why is Kasparov doing this, given that he’s already wealthy and famous? “Look, it’s my country,” Kasparov says. “I believe that I have to try to change it for better. And it’s following the motto of the Soviet dissidents that I learned [in] my childhood: ‘Do what you must and so be it.’ And I do what I must.”

Annals of Neo-Soviet Horror: Putin Deputizes Nashi

The Moscow Times reports:

They’ve been accused of illegal behavior ranging from harassment of diplomats to violent mob attacks. But with State Duma elections just months away, activists from the pro-Kremlin youth group Nashi are teaming up with city police to keep the streets quiet. Critics have accused authorities of turning a blind eye as Nashi’s members intimidate political foes. But last week, Nashi began mobilizing brigades of volunteers trained by city police to enforce public order. Some 200 Nashi activists, accompanied by actual police officers, have already begun patrolling the streets, wearing red armbands to show their status as druzhinniki, members of a volunteer corps that dates back to Soviet times, said Oleg Lobkov, a Nashi leader heading up the volunteer patrol program.

Nashi is hoping to have some 5,000 activists conducting volunteer patrols in Moscow alone by December, Lobkov said. Druzhinniki are roughly analogous to the Guardian Angels in the United States. While these people’s patrols have traditionally focused on plucking the odd drunk off the street, Nashi has made it clear that its brigades are being formed specifically to head off any political unrest during Duma elections in December.

“In December, volunteers will head out on their own to patrol the streets and help Moscow police to control the situation,” Nashi said in a statement posted on its web site.

Many believe Nashi, by far the largest and most powerful pro-Kremlin youth group, was set up as a response to Ukraine’s Orange Revolution in 2004, in which youth-led street protests helped give the presidency to pro-Western candidate Viktor Yushchenko.

The leaders of Nashi, whose financing is opaque, deny that they receive Kremlin funding. But the organization has been closely linked to Vladislav Surkov, deputy head of the presidential administration.

Nashi held a training session Tuesday outside the Russian State Library, often referred to by its old name, the Lenin Library, in central Moscow for around 200 activists from various regions.

“We are taking a civic-minded position,” Lobkov said outside the library. “We don’t know what the opposition will plan, so we have to be ready.”

Nashi says the country’s stability is under threat from groups such as The Other Russia, a coalition of opposition forces whose leaders include former world chess champion Garry Kasparov and writer Eduard Limonov, founder of the banned National Bolshevik Party.

The coalition plans to hold a Dissenters’ March in central Moscow on Oct. 7 and hopes to attract 5,000.

“It’s no secret” that the Nashi patrols will be mobilized for the opposition rally, Lobkov said.

Asked separately what specific threats the patrols would head off, teenage Nashi activists Svetlana, Yegor and Anastasia gave identical answers.

“The opposition wants to destabilize Russia,” each of them answered.

Some activists said they couldn’t name the threat but that it was important to protect the stability of the country. Others shrugged and walked off.

“It was Nashi’s idea to help,” said a city police spokesman, who declined to give his name. “Kozlov told them that in order to legally help keep public order, they must become volunteers.”

Deputy City Police Chief Vyacheslav Kozlov suggested to Nashi representatives that they begin by forming volunteer patrols, the spokesman said Friday.

Kozlov oversaw police operations during the April 14 Dissenters’ March, which OMON riot police violently quashed.

A city law on the patrols allows volunteers to “take physical action” if a lawbreaker is “actively disobedient” or resists. The law allows force as a last resort and “within the boundaries of the right to necessary defense.”

Lobkov, however, said Nashi activists would not use physical force, a position echoed by city police spokeswoman Alevtina Belousova.

“The volunteers will not take physical action, and they are not armed,” Belousova said.

She said police welcomed the help.

“We don’t care which organization the citizens come from,” Belousova said. “As long as they are registered volunteers, then they can help out.”

Other pro-Kremlin youth groups have promised to mobilize their activists to head off opposition rallies.

“We will carry out appropriate countermeasures should our opponents take to the streets” said television personality Ivan Demidov, a leader of Young Guard, the youth wing of the pro-Kremlin party United Russia.

It is the “duty” of all pro-Kremlin youth groups to act accordingly, Demidov said.

While Nashi is fashioning itself as a protector of public order, the opposition and foreign governments have accused the youth group of using violence and intimidation for political ends.

Limonov accused Nashi members of being involved in a savage attack in August 2005 in which masked men wielding baseball bats and air guns assaulted opposition youth activists. Witnesses said some of the attackers were wearing T-shirts bearing the Nashi emblem. Nashi dismissed the accusations, saying the group’s activities were “based on the principle of nonviolence.”

Earlier this year, Estonia accused Russia of failing to protect foreign diplomats after Nashi activists mounted a noisy demonstration outside the Estonian Embassy with demands that Tallinn apologize for its controversial decision to move a Soviet-era World War II memorial. Dozens of activists also stormed a news conference being given by Estonian Ambassador Marina Kaljurand.

Nashi members were also accused of harassing British Ambassador Anthony Brenton after he met with leaders of The Other Russia last year.

Ilya Yashin, head of the youth wing of the liberal Yabloko party, called the formation of the Nashi patrols “exceptionally dangerous.”

“It will come to a point where politics in Russia will end with fistfights on the streets,” Yashin said. “[Nashi volunteers] lack a deeper understanding of politics. When young, lively people are politically indoctrinated and given the backing of the state, they feel invincible. And that is very dangerous.”

While the Nashi patrols are being mobilized for election season, a nationalist youth group last week earned public praise from the country’s top migration official for carrying out a cunning vigilante crackdown on illegal foreign workers.

Federal Migration Service chief Konstantin Romodanovsky lauded members of youth group Mestniye for rounding up 72 people attempting to obtain work illegally, Interfax reported.

Mestniye spokesman Andrei Groznetsky said activists posing as businessmen promised jobs to migrant workers near a market in northeast Moscow. After agreeing on a wage, the activists drove them away and dropped the workers off at a nearby migration service office to have their documents checked, Groznetsky said.

“We are in permanent contact with the authorities,” Groznetsky said. “We have experience in helping them intercept illegal activities, and they are free to call on that experience any time.”

Annals of Russian "Diplomacy": The Country is Being Represented by Apes

Regnum reports:

One of leaders of the Georgian parliamentary majority Giorgi Bokeria expressed extreme indignation at a recent statement by Russia’s Ambassador to Georgia Vyacheslav Kovalenko, who predicted soon extinction of the Georgian nation. “I would like to express my extreme indignation at the statement made recently by the Russian ambassador who forecasted extinction to the Georgians. I believe that such statements are extremely incorrect being made by any diplomat. Moreover, from the country that is still carrying out aggression against Georgia and that is a moral and legal inheritor of the Soviet Union, which really did its best for extinction of the Georgian people, luckily, with no success,” Giorgi Bokeria said. The parliamentary majority expressed confidence that the Georgian foreign ministry would claim that the Russian ambassador provide explanations. Earlier, at an informal meeting in Tbilisi with Georgian artists Russian Ambassador Vyacheslav Kovalenko announced that the Georgians became “a relic nation,” “Georgians are a nation on the verge of extinction” and “you will extinct.”

Civil Georgia adds:

Vyacheslav Kovalenko, the Russian ambassador to Georgia, said that he did not have on his mind to offend the Georgian nation, when he said that Georgia was “a dying-out nation” in light of growing globalization. Remarks by Russian ambassador made last week at a meeting of the Russian-Georgian Friendship Union, triggered an angry reaction of Georgian politicians. “Statements of this kind from any diplomat are utterly inappropriate,” Bokeria said on September 24, “especially from a representative of the country, which is pursuing an aggressive policy and is the moral and legal inheritor of the Soviet Union, which really tried hard to achieve the extinction of the Georgian nation, but failed.”

“Maybe, certain forces in Russia really want to see the extinction of Georgian nation, but this will not happen,” Georgian Parliamentary Chairperson, Nino Burjanadze, said. “I would advice Mr. Kovalenko to think about Russia and its demographic problems and we will ourselves take care of Georgian problems, including the demographic ones.” Meanwhile, dozen of Georgian students rallied outside the Russian embassy on September 24 protesting against Kovalenko’s remarks and demanding his apologies. The Georgian Foreign Ministry has even summoned the Russian diplomat over this issue. “There was no attempt to somehow offend the Georgian people,” Vyacheslav Kovalenko told reporters after visiting the Foreign Ministry. “On the contrary, I say that there is a huge [demographic] problem in Georgia which needs to be urgently addressed.” He also said that he was speaking at the meeting of the Georgian-Russian Friendship Union about democratic problems which is equally important both for Georgia and Russia.

Signs of the Neo-Soviet Apocalypse: Russia is Running Out of Oil and Gas

RIA Novosti reports:

Russia will run out of crude oil reserves in 50 years, and the country’s natural gas will be depleted in 75 years, a geologist specializing in oil production said Monday. Yevgeny Kozlovsky, who served as geology minister in the Soviet Union, said the forecast was based on predicted production levels and the size of current reserves, including possible new finds. The scientist, who heads a department at the Russian State Geological Prospecting University, said investment in prospecting totaling at least 50 billion rubles ($2 billion) was needed annually to increase reserves, as well as highly-skilled staff capable of using the funds effectively. “This is a question of allocations and staff,” he said. Kozlovsky said that the post-Soviet era has not brought any new major discoveries, as there are no incentives for companies to invest in prospecting. He proposed that laws be approved to grant companies the right to develop deposits they have discovered. Kozlovsky also urged for favorable tax conditions to be introduced for companies developing problematic deposits. He said that Russia could potentially produce an additional 150 million metric tons of oil (1 billion barrels) annually.