Daily Archives: March 21, 2007

Is Growing Western Pressure Forcing Russia out of Iran?

Bradford Plumer over at New Republic’s blog The Plank writes:

So the New York Times reports today: “Russia has informed Iran that it will withhold nuclear fuel for Iran’s nearly completed Bushehr power plant unless Iran suspends its uranium enrichment as demanded by the United Nations Security Council.” Smackdown! Or maybe not. According to Bloomberg, Russia is now denying that it ever issued such an ultimatum, and is really only withholding the fuel because of a dispute over late payments (which would make perfect sense). If anyone wants to parse all the various statements here, feel free. This bit from the Times piece, though, was intriguing:

The Russian Atomic Energy Agency, or Rosatom, is eager to become a major player in the global nuclear energy market. As Security Council action against Iran has gained momentum and Iran’s isolation increases, involvement with the Bushehr project may detract from Rosatom’s reputation.

That seems like as plausible a reason as any for Russia to decide to confront Iran over the latter’s enrichment program. Although if the denials to Bloomberg are true, it hasn’t really reached that point yet.

In a post entitled “Russia Plays a Murderous Game,” Scrutiny Hooligans adds:

Russia, after years of arming Iran with conventional weaponry and nuclear technology, is now playing Mr. Nice Guy with the world community by threatening to withhold the nuclear material for Iranian power plants. Well so what, right? Just as long as Iran doesn’t go nuclear, we can avoid war, right? You wouldn’t think so if you look at the way the Russians are peddling arms to our rivals,

“Last year, Russia surpassed the United States as the developing world’s leader in arms deals, according to a new report by the Congressional Research Service (CRS). But Russia has increased military shipments to anti-U.S. states like Iran and Venezuela, not to mention potential adversaries like China, which concerns U.S. policymakers far more. Experts say Iran—as well as Syria—may have transferred some of these small arms to groups like Hezbollah and Hamas.”

Russian behavior indicates that we’ve made things rather hot in Vladimir Putin’s kitchen right about now. We need to keep up the pressure until Russia is forced to abandone its crazed machinations in Iran; it’s the perfect (and essential) test case to demonstate Western resolve.

The Horror of Day-to-Day life in Putin’s Neo-Soviet Russia


Gas explosion at coal mine kills 106 miners.

Nursing home fire kills 62 senior citizens.


How many times must a man look up
Before he can see the sky?
Yes, and how many ears must one man have
Before he can hear people cry?
Yes, and how many deaths will it take till he knows
That too many people have died?
The answer, my friend, is blowin’ in the wind,
The answer is blowin’ in the wind.

— Bob Dylan
“Blowin’ in the Wind”
1963

The Horror of Day-to-Day life in Putin’s Neo-Soviet Russia


Gas explosion at coal mine kills 106 miners.

Nursing home fire kills 62 senior citizens.


How many times must a man look up
Before he can see the sky?
Yes, and how many ears must one man have
Before he can hear people cry?
Yes, and how many deaths will it take till he knows
That too many people have died?
The answer, my friend, is blowin’ in the wind,
The answer is blowin’ in the wind.

— Bob Dylan
“Blowin’ in the Wind”
1963

The Horror of Day-to-Day life in Putin’s Neo-Soviet Russia


Gas explosion at coal mine kills 106 miners.

Nursing home fire kills 62 senior citizens.


How many times must a man look up
Before he can see the sky?
Yes, and how many ears must one man have
Before he can hear people cry?
Yes, and how many deaths will it take till he knows
That too many people have died?
The answer, my friend, is blowin’ in the wind,
The answer is blowin’ in the wind.

— Bob Dylan
“Blowin’ in the Wind”
1963

The Horror of Day-to-Day life in Putin’s Neo-Soviet Russia


Gas explosion at coal mine kills 106 miners.

Nursing home fire kills 62 senior citizens.


How many times must a man look up
Before he can see the sky?
Yes, and how many ears must one man have
Before he can hear people cry?
Yes, and how many deaths will it take till he knows
That too many people have died?
The answer, my friend, is blowin’ in the wind,
The answer is blowin’ in the wind.

— Bob Dylan
“Blowin’ in the Wind”
1963

The Horror of Day-to-Day life in Putin’s Neo-Soviet Russia


Gas explosion at coal mine kills 106 miners.

Nursing home fire kills 62 senior citizens.


How many times must a man look up
Before he can see the sky?
Yes, and how many ears must one man have
Before he can hear people cry?
Yes, and how many deaths will it take till he knows
That too many people have died?
The answer, my friend, is blowin’ in the wind,
The answer is blowin’ in the wind.

— Bob Dylan
“Blowin’ in the Wind”
1963

Tiny, Valiant Estonia Slugs it out with Giant Russia on the pages of the British Press

The Guardian (hat tip: David McDuff) has published dueling op-ed pieces from the Chairman of the International Affairs Committee of the Russian Duma (Konstantin Kosachev) and the Estonian ambassador to Britain (Margus Laidre):

First, the Russian:

The marks of the second world war can be seen all over Europe, in restored buildings, destroyed neighbourhoods, war cemeteries, painful memories and memorials to the millions who died in the war against nazism. In almost all countries the memorials are treated with respect. In Normandy fallen British and German soldiers lie in adjacent cemeteries. Their graves are well kept, so that families may visit their last resting place, and new generations be reminded of the horrors of war.

But in Estonia a new law threatens the very principle of the sanctity of the war dead. The War Graves Protection Act will allow the memorial that stands in the centre of the capital, Tallinn, to be dismantled, and the bodies of unknown soldiers beneath it to be disinterred and reburied elsewhere. While Estonia’s President Toomas Ilves has for now vetoed on technical grounds the part of the act that obliges the government to demolish Soviet war memorials within 30 days, he has waved through another law permitting the reburial of the remains of Soviet soldiers who died fighting the Nazis.

The Russian government is deeply concerned as this plan threatens to upset relations between Estonians and Russians living in the country and hopes of improving our friendship as independent, neighbouring states. The children and grandchildren of men and women who fought fascism will no longer have a place in central Tallinn where they can honour those heroes. Meanwhile in Estonia, as in Latvia, it has become permissible for veterans of the Hitlerite SS not only to form associations, but to hold rallies in city centres.

In other words, it has become politically correct among some EU members to honour those who tried to bury European civilisation and were responsible for a five-year catastrophe on our continent, while they make it more difficult to honour those who gave their lives to stamp out the cancer of fascism.

Estonians argue that the liberation of their country by Soviet soldiers was in fact the beginning of a new occupation. But a distinction must be made between the political realities of the day and the ordinary people who fought in the war. The Stalinist, communist state that according to Estonian radicals occupied Estonia also brought political repression for millions in the rest of the Soviet Union. The secret protocols of the 1939 Molotov-Ribbentrop non-aggression pact, which assigned the Baltic states to the Soviet sphere of influence, were condemned by the Soviet parliament as long ago as 1989, and declared null and void.

Moreover, the men and women who fought in the Red Army believed they were ridding the world of fascism – and that is what they did. They and their children can’t be held responsible for crimes committed later. It is unforgivable to equate liberators with occupiers.

President Putin has described the plan to demolish the Tallinn war memorial as an “ultra-nationalist and very short-sighted policy”. As a response some in Russia advocate sanctions against Estonia. But this should be an ultimate option. If the war-graves laws are not implemented, the opposite should happen: economic and trade links should be strengthened.

Before any attempt to wipe out the memory of the sacrifices that Soviet (and Estonian) citizens made to save Europe from nazism, we need a period of reflection. The second world war still strikes a deeply emotional chord in Russia, as elsewhere in Europe. As a last resort, Russia is willing to rebury the sacred remains of our soldiers in Russian soil. But let us hope that in the interests of friendship between our nations and respect for the war dead, this does not have to happen.

Here’s the Estonian response:

Konstantin Kosachev claims that Estonia now permits SS rallies – but plans to pull down memorials to those who died fighting fascism. This is not true. Different colours can be used to paint history. For Russia the years 1941-45 mean the great patriotic war, in which the Nazis attacked the Soviet Union and were defeated. For Estonia, alongside Latvia, Lithuania and Poland, the second world war began two years earlier in August 1939, when Stalin and Hitler divided Europe into spheres of influence. As a result Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania lost their independence for 50 years.

Unfortunately, Russia does not want to recognise the words of its first president, Boris Yeltsin. In Hungary in 1992 he said that, after the destruction of fascism, another ideology of violence descended upon eastern Europe. Yeltsin, who apologised for the actions of the Soviet Union, said that one must know one’s own history, because without the complete truth justice cannot be restored, and without the complete truth there can be neither remorse nor forgiveness.

According to Kosachev, chairman of the Russian Duma’s international affairs committee, “a distinction must be made between the political realities of the day and the ordinary people who fought the war”. Russia admits to winning the second world war, but elects not to see any connection with the barbaric crimes against humanity committed by the same regime. For Estonians, the September 1944 re-entry of Soviet troops into our capital, Tallinn, only meant replacement of one occupation regime with another. The loss of human lives during the Soviet and Nazi occupations in Estonia (1940-45) was huge: proportionately, it was as if today’s Britain had lost 12 million people.

The Soviet “liberators” deported my aunt to Siberia for 17 years. To survive she had to drink her own urine. The “liberators” shot her husband without trial; the “charge” was that he was a bank director and supported a liberal market economy and she, his wife, was an accomplice. There are tens of thousands of similar stories.

The International Commission for the Investigation of Crimes Against Humanity, established in 1998 by the late President Meri, has published its first voluminous compendium of 1,337 pages, which describes the first Soviet occupation and the German occupation. Estonia dares face her history whereas, 60 years after the end of the war, Russia still has not.

According to Mr Kosachev, President Putin has described the plan to demolish the Tallinn war memorial as an “ultra-nationalist and very short-sighted policy”. But unlike in Russia, which recently demolished a 30-metre second world war memorial in Stavropol with full approval by the authorities, the issue in Estonia is not about dismantling a monument, but about moving it to a more suitable location (a cemetery).

There are no neo-Nazis marching in Estonia’s streets. But how is it possible that, having defeated Nazism 60 years ago, Russia today is home to more than 50,000 neo-Nazis? Such developments give cause for real concern – even Putin has admitted as much. It is in Europe’s interests to help Russia re-evaluate the past and combat neo-Nazism. Estonia is ready to lend a hand.

The Chokehold Tightens

The Sunday Telegraph reports on yet another blatant example of Vladimir Putin’s Kremlin seizing control over private property and dominating the presentation of information on TV:

It was the kind of announcement that would unnerve more democratic leaders. But when Russia’s football chiefs struck an exclusive £50 million deal with a satellite television channel to screen all the country’s premier league matches, President Vladimir Putin did not miss a beat.

Instead, with television cameras rolling, Mr Putin accused the television company and the Russian Football Union of wanting “to deprive us ordinary guys of watching soccer for free” – and then ordered Dmitri Medvedev, the first deputy prime minister, to “sort out the mess”.

The result was a foregone conclusion. Last week the channel, NTV-Plus, bowed to Mr Putin’s wishes and announced that the premier league season would, after all, also be screened on state-run television.

The exchange revealed not only the means by which Mr Putin is still tightening his grip on Russian politics and life, but also his determination to ensure that his chosen successor becomes president when he has to step down.

Mr Medvedev, 41, a lawyer from St Petersburg, is the chairman of Gazprom, Russia’s natural gas monopoly, and one of two men whom Mr Putin apparently wants to take over from him in the elections due to be held next March.

It was not difficult for Mr Medvedev to intervene in this case, despite a legal contract – the television company is a subsidiary of Gazprom.

By delivering an outcome that made Mr Putin and himself look good, Mr Medvedev scored valuable political points over his rival pretender to the Kremlin throne, Sergei Ivanov, the former defence minister.

Mr Ivanov, 54, a veteran of Russia’s foreign secret service, also has St Petersburg connections – a useful attribute when seeking advancement under Mr Putin, who forged his KGB career in that city.

Four weeks ago, he was also marked for favour by being appointed a first deputy prime minister, Mr Medvedev’s equal, having served as his subordinate for 14 months.

As Russia’s answer to Tweedledum and Tweedledee, the pair, in effect, act to divert any criticism of the Kremlin, enabling Mr Putin apparently to rise above disputes within his government and play the role of supreme arbitrator.

The president’s objective is to maintain a semblance of political pluralism but also a resolute grip on power as the election approaches, bringing with it the most dangerous moment in Russian politics, the transition of power.

Moscow insiders question whether Mr Putin really intends to step down, as the constitution requires, when he completes his second term. But if he does, he would certainly prefer whoever follows him to be a successor in name only, so that he can continue to wield power behind the scenes – someone capable and loyal but without the charisma, charm, guile or ambition that have served Mr Putin so well.Mr Medvedev and Mr Ivanov could fit that bill.

Mr Ivanov, a fluent English and Swedish speaker who likes to read John Le Carré thrillers in their original language, has a reputation for being colder and less Western-oriented.

He attracted criticism in Russia as defence minister for his lack of emotion when Chechen rebels killed big numbers of Russian troops.

He received more flak in 2005 when a car driven by his eldest son killed a woman on a zebra crossing. Mr Ivanov was accused of intervening to ensure no charges were brought.

Mr Medvedev has no such handicaps. A graduate of St Petersburg University, who as a student was keen on photography, the heavy rock band Black Sabbath and weightlifting, he is more personable and perhaps more palatable to the West. He married his college sweetheart, Svetlana, and they have a son. During most of the 1990s he taught law and is the author of a university textbook on civil law. With elderly parents living in St Petersburg, Mr Medvedev has much in common with ordinary Russians. Even his officially declared income, equivalent to £110,000, is modest compared with that of some Kremlin figures.

Mr Putin may make it possible for both to run for president – creating the appearance of a free and democratic choice, but in fact ensuring that whoever wins proves to be a Putin loyalist.

Many saw last week’s regional elections as a dry run for this strategy. In what appeared to be a fight among three parties in the 14 federal districts up for grabs, United Russia and the recently established Just Russia – supposedly a Left-of-centre alternative – won 58 per cent of the vote between them, pushing the Communist Party into third place. Yet both the victorious parties are creations of the Kremlin, ensuring Mr Putin could not lose, either way.

Russian Corruption Reaches South Africa

South Africa Business Day reports that the shadowy world of Russian business has reached its shores:

A RUSSIAN promise to invest $2bn in a new mineral fertiliser plant in SA has thrown the visit to Pretoria yesterday of Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Fradkov into an embarrassing controversy involving a funding front for the African National Congress (ANC). The controversy involves ANC funding front Chancellor House, and raises prickly questions about possible favours for the ANC arising out of official diplomatic and economic relations between SA and Russia.

Yesterday, Fradkov and Deputy President Phumzile Mlambo-Ngcuka attended the launch of the SA-Russia Business Council in Pretoria, which will be chaired by Mvelaphanda founder Tokyo Sexwale and Russian oligarch Viktor Vekselberg. While Fradkov spoke of “translating the political relationship (between Russia and SA) into practical work”, one of the first actions of the new council was to witness the signing of a memorandum of understanding between Russian agro-industrial company Azot, Chancellor House of SA, and Russian development bank Vnesheconombank. The partners will conduct “feasibility studies” into building a $2bn fertiliser plant in SA, and Azot CEO Mikhail Golubev was quoted in a Moscow newspaper as saying the new plant would produce 2-million tons of mineral fertiliser a year.

This comes months after Chancellor House was exposed as a funding front for the ANC, raising questions on whether behind-closed-doors machinations took place to ensure that Chancellor House was favoured for this partnership, given that its profits are said to flow to the ANC. To make matters worse, the presence of Fradkov and Mlambo-Ngcuka at the signing of the deal lends political credibility to the partnership, and appears to signal the endorsements of both governments. The high-level launch of the new business council was attended by several dignitaries, including AngloGold Ashanti CEO Bobby Godsell and Business Unity SA president Patrice Motsepe. Mlambo-Ngcuka said that the council added to the bilateral agreements with China and India and said the aim was to “get these relationships to sweat” to produce tangible results.

But no details of the agreement between Chancellor House, Azot and Vnesheconombank were released. At the same time, Standard Bank, which already has small representation in Russia, also signed a memorandum with Vnesheconombank. Before the signing ceremony, Chancellor House chairman Taole Mokoena confirmed that his company would sign the memorandum with Azot, saying it was done after his company “invited them to establish a fertiliser plant in the region”, and the partners would now examine the feasibility of going ahead with the project. He denied that either the South African or Russian government had played any role in helping line up the deal.

“I went to Russia and looked for (partners). Government has never been involved, they’ve only been involved now, because (Russia’s foreign office is involved here), but otherwise they never even knew about this.” He said the Russian government’s sole role had been in facilitating the signing of the agreement in the presence of Fradkov. Mokoena said this was “R14bn and no single company has that … and we can’t start looking for funds” until the results of the feasibility study were known.

ANC secretary-general Kgalema Motlanthe told the Financial Mail in January that Chancellor House was “an ANC vehicle” that existed only to fund the ANC. However, Mokoena denied this yesterday, saying “as far as I know, Chancellor House is a front for nobody”. But significant doubts also exist over whether Azot could even deliver on the promise to create a fertiliser plant. Azot’s CEO Golubev is locked in a battle over who has the legal right to control the Azot company. The rival shareholder, a company called Mezhregiongas – a wholly owned subsidiary of Gazprom, Russia’s most powerful enterprise – told Business Day it knows nothing at all of Golubev’s claim. Mezhregiongas sources added that, with a shareholding of at least 47%, Mezhregiongas must approve any investment project involving Azot, and it has not done so for Golubev. Gazprom and Mezhregiongas also report they have been in litigation for several years to secure majority control of the Azot shareholding, to enable them to take over the company’s management.

Golubev has told Russian reporters he is appealing to Gazprom to participate in ambitious foreign schemes, claiming he has approval from Mezhregiongas – which disputes that. Golubev also claims that he will arrange financing for the SA project with Vnesheconombank (VEB), a state owned and controlled bank with a representative office in Rosebank. A bank which Goloubev controls, Neftegazbank, is also reportedly to participate in the fertiliser project. Official reports indicate that Golubev’s bank was issued with a Moscow court bankruptcy order in 2005. It had been stripped of its banking licence by the Russian Central Bank in April of 2004.

Minister Trutnev came to the federal mining portfolio three years ago from the regional governor’s post in Perm, and he has a history of promoting the interests of powerful businessmen in the energy, minerals, and fertiliser sector. As the Russian co-chairman of the inter-government commission with SA, Trutnev has explicitly promoted African business schemes of Victor Vekselberg, the owner of the Renova group; Oleg Deripaska, owner of Russian Aluminium (Rusal); Vagit Alekperov of LUKoil, and others. On Friday, while he was in transit, Trutnev repeated an earlier claim that Rusal is considering a project to build a new aluminium smelter in SA. Rusal denies the interest. Rusal executives have been in SA considering the procurement of power stations required for a Rusal alumina refinery in Guinea, and a smelter in Nigeria, where electricity is both scarce and costly. Trutnev’s office has issued a statement claiming the MOU signed yesterday in Pretoria was “for the purpose of realiastion of the civil-engineering design of a factory for manufacture of mineral fertilisers between the Foreign Trade and Investment Bank [VEB] and Joint-Stock Company Agrochemical corporation “Azot, and South African company Chancellor House Holdings.”

A Vnesheconombank (VEB) spokesman told Business Day that the bank’s delegation in SA is headed by First Deputy Chairman Nikolay Kosov. She said she has no information on what is happening, or on what documents may have been signed. She added that until the VEB officials return to Moscow, she can say nothing more.

Chancellor House is headed by a former SA deputy defence secretary, Mamatho Netsianda and has also been involved in memoranda of understanding promising massive investment in SA’s manganese mining sector. None of this investment has materialised.

Details of SA mine licence transactions involving Russian companies, political influence-peddling, and Chancellor House have been researched by the SA-based Institute for Security Studies, and the Institute Democracy in SA.

SPECIAL ANNOUNCEMENT: Today is Anna Politkovskaya Day!

The Peter Weiss Foundation for Art & Politics Announces a

Worldwide reading in memoriam for Anna Politkovskaya

Participants

The following organisations are supporting the event

  • PEN/Writers in Prison network
  • Finnish Theatre Information Centre
  • German Writers’ Association (Verband Deutscher Schriftsteller, verdi)
  • Reporters Without Borders
  • Goethe Institute

Elfriede Jelinek handed us a tape with her reading out the first of the chosen chapters “Machkety. A concentration camp with a commercial streak” which will be broadcasted in several radio stations.

We now have the reading texts in the following languages: Russian (original), German, English, Spanish, French, Polish and Catalan. Translations into Italian, Czech, Georgian and Arabian are on their way.

Special thanks in this respect to the publishing houses that gave us the permission for the free public reading of the texts of Anna Politkovskaya on the “Anniversary of the Political Lie” in the respective languages. Those are: Zakharov Publishers (Russia – the publishing house gave permission to read and translate the texts in any other language to which it hasn’t been translated yet), DuMont (Germany), Chicago University Press (USA), Ordfront (Sweden), Like (Finland).

There will be broadcasts on the following radio stations:

  • Worldwide: Radio Liberty/Radio Free Europe will make announcements of the events in the respective countries on monday and broadcast a reading of the texts in Russian on tuesday. The program will be broadcasted worldwide.
  • Germany: Deutschlandradio is going to air part of the recording of the texts read by Elfriede Jelinek at 7:07 pm in their show “Fazit”; from 11:05 pm in the same show there will be a general notice on the event
  • Germany: Live radio show in the non comercial Radio BLAU (Leipzig UKW 99,2 MHz, worldwide per live stream) 8-9 pm. Texts will be read by Politkowskaja translator Dr. Hannelore Umbreit (Leipzig) and Andreas Tretner (Berlin), translator from Russian, PEN member
  • Germany: B5 Aktuell broadcasts culture news 5 minutes to every half hour a.m.
  • Germany: Bayern2Radio will broadcast a reading in their show “Kulturwelt” at 8:30 a.m. and in their show “Das offene Buch” | radioKultur at 9:30 p.m.
  • Switzerland: Radio LoRa, Zürich (97,5 MHz) will do a feature in German and Spanish in the frame of their “Martes Latino”, between 3 and 4 pm in the program “Mujeres”. The recording of Elfriede Jelinek’s reading will be aired, the texts will then be read again in Spanish. There will be interviews with the Zurich documentary maker Eric Bergkraut. The show will be repeated at midnight.
  • Austria: Radio Helsinki, Graz will broadcast a critical interview with Russia expert Herwig Höller regarding reporting from Russia along with extracts of a public talk with Anna Politkovskaya on her last visit in Graz
  • Austria: FRO – Freies Radio Oberösterreich; the exact program is yet to be determined
  • Austria: Freies Radio Innsbruck FREIRAD 105.9; the exact program is yet to be determined
  • USA: Broadcasting of a two-part program on Friday, March 16 and March 23 at 4:30 p.m. (Pacific Standard Time) from KSER 90.7 FM out of Everett, Washington; texts will be read by Nancy Dahlberg, background material on the Chechnyan conflict will be read by Thomas Hubbard
  • Colombia: UN RADIO 100.4 FM is doing a one-hour feature at 1 pm
  • Poland: Radio TOK FM, the most popular “political radio” in poland, will broadcast a reading.
  • Luxemburg: RTL-Radio will broadcast an nterview with Ms. Simone Beck from the Theatre du Centaure regarding their event

There will be readings in 21 countries as follows, and the author Patricia de Souza writes about Anna Politkovskaya on her blog (in Spanish).

March 20, 2007 — Contents

TUESDAY MARCH 20 CONTENTS


(1)On the Trail of Politkovskaya’s Killers


(2)
Once Again, Dimwit Academics Lead us Astray

(3) First the Horror of the Crash, then the Horror of the “Rescue”


(4) Annals of Russian Economic Failure

(5) Yes, Even on Cheery Cooking Shows, Russia is Exposed