Daily Archives: March 10, 2007

Estonia Pokes Another Finger in Russia’s Eyeball

More clear proof of Russia’s utter diplomatic failure in the Baltics. A few days ago Estonia held parliamentary elections (it is noteworthy that for the first time anywhere in the world these elections included the use of Internet voting) and the big winner was the anti-Russian Reform party (this follows closely on the heels of Estonia electing a U.S.-educated, anti-Russian president. Itching for Estonia reports on the lies being told about Estonia in the Russian press in the wake of the election:

Pravda is viewing Reform’s victory as an “anti-Russian” victory. Which I guess means they support Keskerakond [another party vying for seats in the election].

Russians are still really worried about their monument in Tallinn, and Kommersant dispatched correspondents to learn about those involved in deciding its fate.

It’s kind of funny how they weave themselves into everything. I guess they need to make Estonia interesting for their readers. The American media similarly plays up Toomas Hendrik Ilves’ US-education. I wonder if the German media quotes Germans living in Estonia too. Perhaps the Swedish media managed to dig up some rannarootlased to ask them their opinions.

Speaking of Russian media, I found a number of facts stated in this Itar-Tass story to be false or outdated. A lot of information circulating about Estonia is often incorrect or old, so it’s not just Tass’ problem. But for the benefit of mankind, I’ve decided to straighten a few things out.

TASS: Estonia has a population of slightly more than 1.4 million.

REALITY: According to preliminary data from the Estonian Statistical Office, as of Jan. 1, 2007, there were 1,342,000 people living in Estonia.

TASS: 20% of residents are denied voting rights as non-citizens.

REALITY: According to the Estonian Ministry of Population Affairs, as of Dec. 31, 2006, 125,799 residents of Estonia still lacked citizenship. My trusty calculator tells me that 125,799 divided by 1,342,000 equals .0937, or that non-citizens make up 9.37 percent of the population in Estonia. Currently, some 7.4 percent of Estonian residents are citizens of the Russian Federation. They get to vote in Russian elections AND in Estonian municipal elections. Still, 9.37 + 7.4 = 16.77. Either way, Tass’ assessment is false.

TASS: The majority of non-citizens are ethnic Russians.

REALITY: While I have no numbers on this one, I take it as fact. Good job, Tass.

TASS: Therefore, two-thirds of 300,000 Estonian Russians are barred from elections.

REALITY: The latest figures on ethnicity show 345,000 ethnic Russians in Estonia as of Jan. 1, 2006, or 25.66 of the total population. Still, 16.77 divided by 25.66 is 65.33, which is – just barely – not exactly two-thirds, but, hey, who are we to punish Tass on this one. I mean it’s almost true, which is better than most of the stuff they publish.

The big fact left out is that we are only talking about parliamentary elections here. All of these residents – be they stateless or Russian Federation citizens – can vote in municipal elections.

Estonia Pokes Another Finger in Russia’s Eyeball

More clear proof of Russia’s utter diplomatic failure in the Baltics. A few days ago Estonia held parliamentary elections (it is noteworthy that for the first time anywhere in the world these elections included the use of Internet voting) and the big winner was the anti-Russian Reform party (this follows closely on the heels of Estonia electing a U.S.-educated, anti-Russian president. Itching for Estonia reports on the lies being told about Estonia in the Russian press in the wake of the election:

Pravda is viewing Reform’s victory as an “anti-Russian” victory. Which I guess means they support Keskerakond [another party vying for seats in the election].

Russians are still really worried about their monument in Tallinn, and Kommersant dispatched correspondents to learn about those involved in deciding its fate.

It’s kind of funny how they weave themselves into everything. I guess they need to make Estonia interesting for their readers. The American media similarly plays up Toomas Hendrik Ilves’ US-education. I wonder if the German media quotes Germans living in Estonia too. Perhaps the Swedish media managed to dig up some rannarootlased to ask them their opinions.

Speaking of Russian media, I found a number of facts stated in this Itar-Tass story to be false or outdated. A lot of information circulating about Estonia is often incorrect or old, so it’s not just Tass’ problem. But for the benefit of mankind, I’ve decided to straighten a few things out.

TASS: Estonia has a population of slightly more than 1.4 million.

REALITY: According to preliminary data from the Estonian Statistical Office, as of Jan. 1, 2007, there were 1,342,000 people living in Estonia.

TASS: 20% of residents are denied voting rights as non-citizens.

REALITY: According to the Estonian Ministry of Population Affairs, as of Dec. 31, 2006, 125,799 residents of Estonia still lacked citizenship. My trusty calculator tells me that 125,799 divided by 1,342,000 equals .0937, or that non-citizens make up 9.37 percent of the population in Estonia. Currently, some 7.4 percent of Estonian residents are citizens of the Russian Federation. They get to vote in Russian elections AND in Estonian municipal elections. Still, 9.37 + 7.4 = 16.77. Either way, Tass’ assessment is false.

TASS: The majority of non-citizens are ethnic Russians.

REALITY: While I have no numbers on this one, I take it as fact. Good job, Tass.

TASS: Therefore, two-thirds of 300,000 Estonian Russians are barred from elections.

REALITY: The latest figures on ethnicity show 345,000 ethnic Russians in Estonia as of Jan. 1, 2006, or 25.66 of the total population. Still, 16.77 divided by 25.66 is 65.33, which is – just barely – not exactly two-thirds, but, hey, who are we to punish Tass on this one. I mean it’s almost true, which is better than most of the stuff they publish.

The big fact left out is that we are only talking about parliamentary elections here. All of these residents – be they stateless or Russian Federation citizens – can vote in municipal elections.

Estonia Pokes Another Finger in Russia’s Eyeball

More clear proof of Russia’s utter diplomatic failure in the Baltics. A few days ago Estonia held parliamentary elections (it is noteworthy that for the first time anywhere in the world these elections included the use of Internet voting) and the big winner was the anti-Russian Reform party (this follows closely on the heels of Estonia electing a U.S.-educated, anti-Russian president. Itching for Estonia reports on the lies being told about Estonia in the Russian press in the wake of the election:

Pravda is viewing Reform’s victory as an “anti-Russian” victory. Which I guess means they support Keskerakond [another party vying for seats in the election].

Russians are still really worried about their monument in Tallinn, and Kommersant dispatched correspondents to learn about those involved in deciding its fate.

It’s kind of funny how they weave themselves into everything. I guess they need to make Estonia interesting for their readers. The American media similarly plays up Toomas Hendrik Ilves’ US-education. I wonder if the German media quotes Germans living in Estonia too. Perhaps the Swedish media managed to dig up some rannarootlased to ask them their opinions.

Speaking of Russian media, I found a number of facts stated in this Itar-Tass story to be false or outdated. A lot of information circulating about Estonia is often incorrect or old, so it’s not just Tass’ problem. But for the benefit of mankind, I’ve decided to straighten a few things out.

TASS: Estonia has a population of slightly more than 1.4 million.

REALITY: According to preliminary data from the Estonian Statistical Office, as of Jan. 1, 2007, there were 1,342,000 people living in Estonia.

TASS: 20% of residents are denied voting rights as non-citizens.

REALITY: According to the Estonian Ministry of Population Affairs, as of Dec. 31, 2006, 125,799 residents of Estonia still lacked citizenship. My trusty calculator tells me that 125,799 divided by 1,342,000 equals .0937, or that non-citizens make up 9.37 percent of the population in Estonia. Currently, some 7.4 percent of Estonian residents are citizens of the Russian Federation. They get to vote in Russian elections AND in Estonian municipal elections. Still, 9.37 + 7.4 = 16.77. Either way, Tass’ assessment is false.

TASS: The majority of non-citizens are ethnic Russians.

REALITY: While I have no numbers on this one, I take it as fact. Good job, Tass.

TASS: Therefore, two-thirds of 300,000 Estonian Russians are barred from elections.

REALITY: The latest figures on ethnicity show 345,000 ethnic Russians in Estonia as of Jan. 1, 2006, or 25.66 of the total population. Still, 16.77 divided by 25.66 is 65.33, which is – just barely – not exactly two-thirds, but, hey, who are we to punish Tass on this one. I mean it’s almost true, which is better than most of the stuff they publish.

The big fact left out is that we are only talking about parliamentary elections here. All of these residents – be they stateless or Russian Federation citizens – can vote in municipal elections.

Estonia Pokes Another Finger in Russia’s Eyeball

More clear proof of Russia’s utter diplomatic failure in the Baltics. A few days ago Estonia held parliamentary elections (it is noteworthy that for the first time anywhere in the world these elections included the use of Internet voting) and the big winner was the anti-Russian Reform party (this follows closely on the heels of Estonia electing a U.S.-educated, anti-Russian president. Itching for Estonia reports on the lies being told about Estonia in the Russian press in the wake of the election:

Pravda is viewing Reform’s victory as an “anti-Russian” victory. Which I guess means they support Keskerakond [another party vying for seats in the election].

Russians are still really worried about their monument in Tallinn, and Kommersant dispatched correspondents to learn about those involved in deciding its fate.

It’s kind of funny how they weave themselves into everything. I guess they need to make Estonia interesting for their readers. The American media similarly plays up Toomas Hendrik Ilves’ US-education. I wonder if the German media quotes Germans living in Estonia too. Perhaps the Swedish media managed to dig up some rannarootlased to ask them their opinions.

Speaking of Russian media, I found a number of facts stated in this Itar-Tass story to be false or outdated. A lot of information circulating about Estonia is often incorrect or old, so it’s not just Tass’ problem. But for the benefit of mankind, I’ve decided to straighten a few things out.

TASS: Estonia has a population of slightly more than 1.4 million.

REALITY: According to preliminary data from the Estonian Statistical Office, as of Jan. 1, 2007, there were 1,342,000 people living in Estonia.

TASS: 20% of residents are denied voting rights as non-citizens.

REALITY: According to the Estonian Ministry of Population Affairs, as of Dec. 31, 2006, 125,799 residents of Estonia still lacked citizenship. My trusty calculator tells me that 125,799 divided by 1,342,000 equals .0937, or that non-citizens make up 9.37 percent of the population in Estonia. Currently, some 7.4 percent of Estonian residents are citizens of the Russian Federation. They get to vote in Russian elections AND in Estonian municipal elections. Still, 9.37 + 7.4 = 16.77. Either way, Tass’ assessment is false.

TASS: The majority of non-citizens are ethnic Russians.

REALITY: While I have no numbers on this one, I take it as fact. Good job, Tass.

TASS: Therefore, two-thirds of 300,000 Estonian Russians are barred from elections.

REALITY: The latest figures on ethnicity show 345,000 ethnic Russians in Estonia as of Jan. 1, 2006, or 25.66 of the total population. Still, 16.77 divided by 25.66 is 65.33, which is – just barely – not exactly two-thirds, but, hey, who are we to punish Tass on this one. I mean it’s almost true, which is better than most of the stuff they publish.

The big fact left out is that we are only talking about parliamentary elections here. All of these residents – be they stateless or Russian Federation citizens – can vote in municipal elections.

Estonia Pokes Another Finger in Russia’s Eyeball

More clear proof of Russia’s utter diplomatic failure in the Baltics. A few days ago Estonia held parliamentary elections (it is noteworthy that for the first time anywhere in the world these elections included the use of Internet voting) and the big winner was the anti-Russian Reform party (this follows closely on the heels of Estonia electing a U.S.-educated, anti-Russian president. Itching for Estonia reports on the lies being told about Estonia in the Russian press in the wake of the election:

Pravda is viewing Reform’s victory as an “anti-Russian” victory. Which I guess means they support Keskerakond [another party vying for seats in the election].

Russians are still really worried about their monument in Tallinn, and Kommersant dispatched correspondents to learn about those involved in deciding its fate.

Continue reading

Russia Continues to Ignore the Very Notion of Property Rights

The Moscow Times reports that in Russia, as always, the tiny class of rich get richer, and the vast underclass of poor get early graves.

Russia Ranks 63rd in Property Rights Poll

International Property Rights Ranking
01 Norway
02 Netherlands
33 India
35 Lithuania
42 Brazil
45 China
58 Ukraine
63 Russia
Source: Property Rights Alliance

Widespread corruption and a lack of judicial independence, among other factors, put Russia toward the bottom of a new global property-rights index released Tuesday.

According to the Washington-based Property Rights Alliance, Russia ranks 63 out of 70 countries — a notch above Pakistan and one below Nigeria — when it comes to protecting intellectual and property rights.

Norway topped the list, while Bangladesh came in last. It was the group’s first such compilation.

Russia “made a lot of solid steps over the past year,” said Scott LaGanga, Property Rights Alliance’s executive director.

But the study was critical of Russia’s “legal and political environment.”

Indeed, the Russian political system was deemed to be on a par with those of Pakistan, Venezuela and Ecuador.

Other factors that were taken into account in the alliance index were political stability, access to loans and public confidence in the courts system.

Fellow emerging-market countries India and China did much better than Russia, coming in at 33 and 45, respectively.

The study was based on surveys conducted by the World Bank, Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and other groups.

The index encompasses 95 percent of the total world economic output, LaGanga said.

The study establishes a clear link between property rights and gross domestic product: The more property rights are protected, the higher the GDP.

“There are some who incorrectly claim that strict property protections prevent developing countries and their citizens from unlocking their potential,” LaGanga said in the study.

“Such assertions are the opposite of the reality on the ground.”

On average, countries in the index’s top quarter were more than seven times wealthier than countries in the bottom quarter — with a per capita GDP of nearly $33,000 compared to roughly $4,300.

There’s Good Luck, There’s Bad Luck and then there’s Kremlin Luck

As LR reported on March 1st, on Sunday February 25th, the American TV news magazine Dateline NBC aired a report on the killing of Alexander Litvinenko. MSNBC also carried a report. The reports confirmed that British authorities believe Litvinenko perished in a “state-sponsored” assasination. In the opening of the broadcast, Dateline highlighted the analysis of a senior British reporter and a senior American expert on Russia who knew Litvinennko well.

Here’s an excerpt from the MSNBC report:

Daniel McGrory, a senior correspondent for The Times of London, has reported many of the developments in the Litvinenko investigation. He said the police were stuck between a rock and a hard place.

“While they claim, and the prime minister, Tony Blair, has claimed nothing will be allowed to get in the way of the police investigation, the reality is the police are perfectly aware of the diplomatic fallout of this story,” McGrory said.

“Let’s be frank about this: The United States needs a good relationship with Russia, and so does Europe,” said Paul M. Joyal, a friend of Litvinenko’s with deep ties as a consultant in Russia and the former Soviet states.

Noting that Russia controls a significant segment of the world gas market, Joyal said: “This is a very important country. But how can you have an important relationship with a country that could be involved in activities such as this? It’s a great dilemma.”

Five days before the broadcast aired, shortly after he was interviewed for it, McGrory was dead. His obituary reads “found dead at his home on February 20, 2007, aged 54.”

Five days after the broadcast aired, Joyal was lying in a hospital bed after having been shot for no apparent reason.

There’s good luck, there’s bad luck and then there’s Kremlin luck.

There’s Good Luck, There’s Bad Luck and then there’s Kremlin Luck

As LR reported on March 1st, on Sunday February 25th, the American TV news magazine Dateline NBC aired a report on the killing of Alexander Litvinenko. MSNBC also carried a report. The reports confirmed that British authorities believe Litvinenko perished in a “state-sponsored” assasination. In the opening of the broadcast, Dateline highlighted the analysis of a senior British reporter and a senior American expert on Russia who knew Litvinennko well.

Here’s an excerpt from the MSNBC report:

Daniel McGrory, a senior correspondent for The Times of London, has reported many of the developments in the Litvinenko investigation. He said the police were stuck between a rock and a hard place.

“While they claim, and the prime minister, Tony Blair, has claimed nothing will be allowed to get in the way of the police investigation, the reality is the police are perfectly aware of the diplomatic fallout of this story,” McGrory said.

“Let’s be frank about this: The United States needs a good relationship with Russia, and so does Europe,” said Paul M. Joyal, a friend of Litvinenko’s with deep ties as a consultant in Russia and the former Soviet states.

Noting that Russia controls a significant segment of the world gas market, Joyal said: “This is a very important country. But how can you have an important relationship with a country that could be involved in activities such as this? It’s a great dilemma.”

Five days before the broadcast aired, shortly after he was interviewed for it, McGrory was dead. His obituary reads “found dead at his home on February 20, 2007, aged 54.”

Five days after the broadcast aired, Joyal was lying in a hospital bed after having been shot for no apparent reason.

There’s good luck, there’s bad luck and then there’s Kremlin luck.

There’s Good Luck, There’s Bad Luck and then there’s Kremlin Luck

As LR reported on March 1st, on Sunday February 25th, the American TV news magazine Dateline NBC aired a report on the killing of Alexander Litvinenko. MSNBC also carried a report. The reports confirmed that British authorities believe Litvinenko perished in a “state-sponsored” assasination. In the opening of the broadcast, Dateline highlighted the analysis of a senior British reporter and a senior American expert on Russia who knew Litvinennko well.

Here’s an excerpt from the MSNBC report:

Daniel McGrory, a senior correspondent for The Times of London, has reported many of the developments in the Litvinenko investigation. He said the police were stuck between a rock and a hard place.

“While they claim, and the prime minister, Tony Blair, has claimed nothing will be allowed to get in the way of the police investigation, the reality is the police are perfectly aware of the diplomatic fallout of this story,” McGrory said.

“Let’s be frank about this: The United States needs a good relationship with Russia, and so does Europe,” said Paul M. Joyal, a friend of Litvinenko’s with deep ties as a consultant in Russia and the former Soviet states.

Noting that Russia controls a significant segment of the world gas market, Joyal said: “This is a very important country. But how can you have an important relationship with a country that could be involved in activities such as this? It’s a great dilemma.”

Five days before the broadcast aired, shortly after he was interviewed for it, McGrory was dead. His obituary reads “found dead at his home on February 20, 2007, aged 54.”

Five days after the broadcast aired, Joyal was lying in a hospital bed after having been shot for no apparent reason.

There’s good luck, there’s bad luck and then there’s Kremlin luck.

There’s Good Luck, There’s Bad Luck and then there’s Kremlin Luck

As LR reported on March 1st, on Sunday February 25th, the American TV news magazine Dateline NBC aired a report on the killing of Alexander Litvinenko. MSNBC also carried a report. The reports confirmed that British authorities believe Litvinenko perished in a “state-sponsored” assasination. In the opening of the broadcast, Dateline highlighted the analysis of a senior British reporter and a senior American expert on Russia who knew Litvinennko well.

Here’s an excerpt from the MSNBC report:

Daniel McGrory, a senior correspondent for The Times of London, has reported many of the developments in the Litvinenko investigation. He said the police were stuck between a rock and a hard place.

“While they claim, and the prime minister, Tony Blair, has claimed nothing will be allowed to get in the way of the police investigation, the reality is the police are perfectly aware of the diplomatic fallout of this story,” McGrory said.

“Let’s be frank about this: The United States needs a good relationship with Russia, and so does Europe,” said Paul M. Joyal, a friend of Litvinenko’s with deep ties as a consultant in Russia and the former Soviet states.

Noting that Russia controls a significant segment of the world gas market, Joyal said: “This is a very important country. But how can you have an important relationship with a country that could be involved in activities such as this? It’s a great dilemma.”

Five days before the broadcast aired, shortly after he was interviewed for it, McGrory was dead. His obituary reads “found dead at his home on February 20, 2007, aged 54.”

Five days after the broadcast aired, Joyal was lying in a hospital bed after having been shot for no apparent reason.

There’s good luck, there’s bad luck and then there’s Kremlin luck.

There’s Good Luck, There’s Bad Luck and then there’s Kremlin Luck

As LR reported on March 1st, on Sunday February 25th, the American TV news magazine Dateline NBC aired a report on the killing of Alexander Litvinenko. MSNBC also carried a report. The reports confirmed that British authorities believe Litvinenko perished in a “state-sponsored” assasination. In the opening of the broadcast, Dateline highlighted the analysis of a senior British reporter and a senior American expert on Russia who knew Litvinennko well.

Here’s an excerpt from the MSNBC report:

Daniel McGrory, a senior correspondent for The Times of London, has reported many of the developments in the Litvinenko investigation. He said the police were stuck between a rock and a hard place.

“While they claim, and the prime minister, Tony Blair, has claimed nothing will be allowed to get in the way of the police investigation, the reality is the police are perfectly aware of the diplomatic fallout of this story,” McGrory said.

“Let’s be frank about this: The United States needs a good relationship with Russia, and so does Europe,” said Paul M. Joyal, a friend of Litvinenko’s with deep ties as a consultant in Russia and the former Soviet states.

Noting that Russia controls a significant segment of the world gas market, Joyal said: “This is a very important country. But how can you have an important relationship with a country that could be involved in activities such as this? It’s a great dilemma.”

Five days before the broadcast aired, shortly after he was interviewed for it, McGrory was dead. His obituary reads “found dead at his home on February 20, 2007, aged 54.”

Five days after the broadcast aired, Joyal was lying in a hospital bed after having been shot for no apparent reason.

There’s good luck, there’s bad luck and then there’s Kremlin luck.

Annals of Russophile Gibberish: Cooperation or Collaboration

Writing in the Washington Post Sergey Rogov (check out that classic Russophile smirk!) the director of the Institute of USA and Canada Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences in Moscow, calls for cooperation between Russia and the U.S. But the article is headlined “A Russian Calls for Collaboration.” Maybe it was a Freudian slip?

Have a gander at yet another example of the relentless propaganda being spewed out by the Russophiles as the Kremlin seeks to conslidate its malignant grip on power.

My generation arrived in this world when Russia and America were engaged in a Cold War confrontation. I’ve spent 40 years — all my adult life — studying the United States and Russian-American relations, and now I’m afraid that when my generation leaves this world, America and Russia will be adversaries again. The Cold War ended nearly two decades ago. When communism collapsed, the expectations were high that former enemies would become strategic partners. But it never happened. Why? Many people in Russia blame America. Many people in America blame Russia. Unfortunately, both are right. Nice but empty declarations cannot substitute for a clear strategy. Personal chemistry between presidents cannot substitute for institutionalized cooperation and common policies. Predictably, the backlash against the unfulfilled hopes and promises is strong today in both countries.

LR: And silly platitudes from weirdo institutes get us nowhere fast.

The 1990s were a very difficult time for Russia. Some in the United States saw the beginning of a golden age of democracy, but Russians saw and felt the disintegration of a former superpower. President Boris Yeltsin brought out tanks to fire on the parliament to impose his policy of speedy privatization of industry, business and natural resources, so a few became super-rich and many were pushed into poverty. My country nearly became a failed state. But the worst-case scenario was avoided. With a lot of help from high oil prices, Russia has managed to begin an economic revival. Today the standard of living is going up, and the threat of a civil war is gone. We still face a long and difficult path to a mature democracy and a modern market economy, of course. New mistakes can still be made, but Russia is on its way to recovery.

LR: No, the worst case scenario was realized. The KGB came to power by means of an election.

Meanwhile the United States has enjoyed the fruits of “victory” in the Cold War. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Washington’s strategy has been to prevent the emergence of a new peer competitor and to extend “the unipolar moment” as long as possible into the 21st century. America has failed to resist the temptation of unilateralism and preemption. A new surge of the arrogance of power brought the United States into Iraq.

LR: Notice how he doesn’t name one actual “fruit”? Not so much as a single pomegranate seed.

The relationship with Russia no longer dominates America’s foreign policy. Washington has stopped treating Moscow as an equal player. Instead, Russians have been lectured on the need for domestic reforms, and sometimes given assistance when it directly served U.S. interests. But with the exception of the NunnLugar program to help the former Soviet republics dismantle nuclear weapons, there has been no substantial assistance, no Marshall Plan for Russia.

LR: Just give it a little time, sir. Don’t worry, domination is coming. First regime change, then domination.

In fact, Russia has had to repay all the Soviet sovereign debt plus International Monetary Fund and World Bank credits. The flow of capital from Russia (including official transfers and the much bigger illegal and unofficial flight of capital) has exceeded by many times all Western assistance and private investment in Russia. Even today, Russia helps to finance the U.S. federal budget deficit, holding hundreds of billions of dollars in foreign currency reserves (though not as much as China). Ironically, while some Russian oligarchs make huge investments in America, the U.S. Congress has never repealed the 35-year-old Jackson-Vanik amendment, which treats Russia as a centrally planned economy undeserving of most-favored-nation trading status. This still stings in Moscow.

LR: But Russia IS a centrally planned economy undeserving of most-favored nation trading status. Where’s the problem? And, Is this ape really trying to say that Russia buys U.S. debt to do Americans a favor? No WONDER we can’t get Russia policy right if a loon like this is gone to as a so-called “expert.”

On issues of international security, Russia has been treated as a second-rate power whose complaints can be ignored. At the end of the Cold War, President George H.W. Bush proposed a new security system “from Vancouver to Vladivostok,” but this idea was quickly forgotten. So was NATO’s promise not to expand its military infrastructure eastward beyond West Germany. “The winner takes all” — so despite Russia’s objections, all former Soviet clients in Eastern Europe have been admitted into NATO, including three former republics of the Soviet Union. And two more former republics — Georgia and Ukraine — could be next. Russia’s objections were also ignored when NATO started its first war in Kosovo.

LR: That’s true, America shouldn’t be treating Russia as a second-rate power. That’s one of the Bush administration’s biggest blunders. It should be treated as the third-rate American hating, freedom-destroying banana republic that it is.

At the same time, the old arms-control regime is half-dead. The two strategic arms-limitation agreements on the books will expire in 2009 and 2012. Today there are no serious negotiations between Russia and America about any new arms-control arrangements, and the Bush administration says that there is no more need for legally binding treaties. To demonstrate its point, the administration unilaterally withdrew from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, ignoring Russian objections. Now the United States wants to deploy the components of missile defenses (interceptors and a radar) in Poland and the Czech Republic. Now Russians are complaining that the deployment of American missile defense systems so close to Russia could undermine Russian nuclear deterrence.

LR: Do you notice how he started saying both sides were wrong, then listed only America’s alleged faults? This is exactly how the USSR ceased to exist. Read carefully through this article. Can you find a single serious criticism of Russia?

Many in Russia say that the United States violates a commitment to avoid a “substantial deployment of forces” in Eastern Europe, which America and the West made, when the Russia-NATO Founding Act was signed in 1997. The perception of violated promises and mistrust of American intentions produced calls in Moscow to deploy nuclear and conventional medium-range missiles. This could lead to new tensions.

LR: Many in Russia also say it’s a good idea to elect a proud KGB spy president, stop electing local officials, and be spoonfed TV news by the state.

Unfortunately, Russia and America have never fully escaped from the Cold War doctrine of “mutual assured destruction.” Both pretend that they may someday confront each other with nuclear weapons. Meanwhile, the nuclear club continues to grow ominously. It now has five official and three “de facto” members. North Korea and Iran could also join, if diplomatic efforts fail. A new wave of proliferators would surely follow. What used to be primarily a bilateral Soviet-American nuclear arms race during the Cold War already looks like a multilateral competition that might make a real nuclear war more possible. And with China’s recent anti-satellite test, we are threatened with a new arms race in outer space.

LR: “Could also join” if Russia continues assisting them down that path.

After Iraq, the United States will not be able to act as the world’s policeman. The American public does not want to play that role. To avoid chaos, there must be a workable, multipolar international system based on multilateral rules of the game that are accepted by all major players. America and Russia have unique responsibilities here. If they revert to confrontation, we cannot expect, say, China or France to lead efforts to create a new world order and control the proliferation of nuclear weapons. Only Americans and Russians can lead the world away from the biggest dangers. To do so effectively, they must begin serious cooperation in three areas:

LR: Notice how he talks about America and Russia as if they were equals? As if!

First, a real effort to reinvent arms control. I’m not suggesting the restoration of old treaties. Both countries should make a commitment to take seriously each other’s security concerns and avoid actions that the other side might perceive as a threat. The dispute over anti-missile equipment in Eastern Europe should be resolved through a compromise, not a confrontation. Even more important are Russian-American initiatives to invite other nuclear countries to demonstrate self-restraint and abstain from the unnecessary buildup of their nuclear arsenals. Joint brainstorming is needed to prevent the collapse of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, which is at serious risk.

LR: Translation — America should agree not to use its technology and wealth to leave Russia in the dust. Let Russia maintain nuclear parity and blackmail potential. With “friends” like this maniac, America needs no enemies. Same goes for Russia.

Second, Russia and the United States must cooperate on bilateral and multilateral efforts to manage regional conflicts. The success of the six-party negotiations on North Korea proves that when the United States gives priority to non-proliferation instead of a regime change, solutions are possible. The same approach should be applied to Iran. Multilateral efforts must be expanded to prevent the Taliban from restoring its grip on Afghanistan. Russia, China and India can help NATO politically and economically, and even militarily, if Russia can overcome its “Afghanistan syndrome.” If the United States agrees that the way out of the Iraq quagmire requires multilateral arrangements, Russia also can help. And it can share responsibility for implementing the “road map” to an Israeli-Palestinian peace settlement.

LR: Oh, I see. Russia is going to help NATO. What is this guy smoking, and where can LR get her some?

Third are the problems of democracy and values. Russia and the United States face serious problems related to terrorist threats. It is premature to claim that either has found the best ways to expand human rights and democratic freedoms. America hardly occupies the high moral ground that would enable it to lecture others. Neither does Russia, which is debating a vague concept of “sovereign democracy,” trying to understand how to apply universal standards of human rights and democratic procedures.

LR: In other words, stop bothering Russia about democracy. Let it kill off and degrade and oppress its population as it sees fit, or else it will start giving even more aid and comfort to terrorists.

It would be a great blunder to revive the spirit of the ideological crusade that gave us the Cold War. Propagandistic campaigns should belong to history. While there are heated debates on these issues in each country, we need a Russian-American dialogue instead of mutual accusations. Russia is back as an international player. While it is not a superpower (except in the number of its nuclear weapons) and is still amid a difficult internal transformation, no one should be surprised that Russia wants to protect its national interests. Russia should be treated as a responsible player, sharing the rights and the duties of membership in the community of democratic market economies in a globalized world. That was President Vladimir Putin’s message in the speech he gave last month in Munich. And Russia, if necessary, should be criticized for her mistakes, as should America, or China, or other members of the international community. But the goal should be a new cooperation, not a new Cold War.

LR: If the Kremlin had written the above paragraph, how would it have been different?

Cooperation or Collaboration

Writing in the Washington Post Sergey Rogov, the director of the Institute of USA and Canada Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences in Moscow, calls for cooperation between Russia and the U.S. But the article is headlined “A Russian Calls for Collaboration.” Maybe it was a Freudian slip?

My generation arrived in this world when Russia and America were engaged in a Cold War confrontation. I’ve spent 40 years — all my adult life — studying the United States and Russian-American relations, and now I’m afraid that when my generation leaves this world, America and Russia will be adversaries again. The Cold War ended nearly two decades ago. When communism collapsed, the expectations were high that former enemies would become strategic partners. But it never happened. Why?

Continue reading